Im blue blues clues12/4/2023 ![]() ![]() Who is a late-round flier QB or RB worth taking with your final pick? - Jonathan W.įinal pick. See my article on this after Rodgers was ticketed for New York. Wilson is very good and will probably finish as a Top 5 receiver this year though he’s being drafted early in the second round. Will Garrett Wilson’s ADP jump after the first few episodes of Hard Knocks? What’s his realistic ceiling for this season? - Ryan O. I think the downgrade is wrong and am comfortable rostering Hopkins as the draft’s 20th WR. Prior to it, he was going 45th (or WR 20 vs. Since the signing, Hopkins is going 49th. Burks gets a massive downgrade now but I wasn’t very high on him anyway. That’s also a 50th percentile projection. Even being very conservative with attempts, I have 118 targets and about 85 catches for 1,050 yards and eight TDs. With the arrival of DeAndre Hopkins in Tennessee, is it time to panic for those with Treylon Burks? Is the Titans’ decision to add Hopkins to the receiving room yet another indication Burks can’t be “the guy”? - Logan D. How will I like my team if I don’t take a RB in the first five picks? (You won’t like it, but the “I have no weaknesses” teams are overrated since this is a game of total points.) How will I like my team if I take Travis Kelce in the first round? How about I don’t take a QB until 12 are off the board? How about if I take RBs with my first three picks, what kind of WRs will I get? These are questions you’d like to have a sense about before your one big league drafts for real. Mock drafts are for testing out different structures. So you just finished a mock draft - how do you derive insights from your mock roster to set you up for your real draft? How do you learn from your mock drafts? - Mark D. I really like Wilson and he’s a free roll. Two things: I am not a believer in drafting significantly ahead of ADP and, if two of these guys end up Top 15 RBs, that’s a great hit rate. 100 or later overall in NFFC Drafts in July who I like, in order: Rashaad Penny (109 overall), Samaje Perine (102), Khalil Herbert (107), Damien Harris (117), D’Onta Foreman (143), Jeff Wilson (167). Here are the backs being picked, on average, No. ![]() Which depth-chart buried RBs are worth a mid/late-round flier? - Dan M.īuried means not starting. 1 receivers on their teams, preferably ones tied to at least expected average QB play. But if you play Flex10, full PPR, you want to draft a RB early only if you think he can be Top 5 at the position. I don’t think this impacts RBs who are not in contract limbo. With all of the recent discontent among running backs about their contract situations, should I be knocking any RBs down a tier? Further, is this the year to go zeroRB (even in a standard league) if the board falls that way? - Will S. You’re much less likely to hit it big with a good WR in any week playing just three than you will being able to play four (or more - the more the better). So you create more expected points by trading a high-floor running back spot for a high-ceiling WR one. That extra WR option makes loading up on Top 30 guys optimal because each has about a 25% chance of a game-winning week. A WR-heavy strategy requires being able to play four of them and in this format you can only play three - a big difference. If you are in a Flex9 league, even in full PPR, you have to prioritize running backs. What draft strategy would you have for a Flex9, standard scoring league? It seems like most strategies I see are geared toward PPR and Flex 10, since they are more popular formats. Our Dane Brugler liked Jalin Hyatt ( Giants) as a Top 40 prospect, so I’m taking him in the last round of most drafts despite him being a third-round pick. So my order will go Quentin Johnston ( Chargers), Jordan Addison ( Vikings), Jaxon Smith-Njigba ( Seahawks), Zay Flowers ( Ravens), Jonathan Mingo ( Panthers), Rashee Rice ( Chiefs). I give myself a little flexibility for location/expected opportunity, but not much. For second-round rookie WRs, I allow a little more leeway, pushing the rule to 20+ spots earlier in the second round. My rule is that I’m not taking a first-round rookie WR ahead of another first-round rookie WR who was drafted 10+ slots earlier. What’s your draft order of rookie WRs? - Bryce D. But if he goes earlier, any of the four are okay with me. I will lean into the Angry Rodgers narrative and bet his three-year average of 35 passing TDs. Of these, I can make a case for Rodgers, Smith, Goff and Stafford, in that order. First, who are these guys? In the Scott Fish Bowl (277 leagues of 12), QBs 15-25 were Geno Smith, Aaron Rodgers, Jared Goff, Russell Wilson, Derek Carr, Matthew Stafford, Jordan Love, Bryce Young, Kenny Pickett, Kyler Murray, C.J. Let’s say which QB outside of the Top 15 is capable of finishing Top 5 at the position. I get picking the eighth QB, but it’s just not bargain shopping. ![]()
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